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2 Running Back Sleepers to Target



D’Andre Swift - RB24, 77.7 (7th Round)


The word out of camp is that they’re using the RBs a lot in the receiving game, specifically Swift. This is not something they did last year, but their HC Nick Sirianni said that their offense is based off of the skill and the players that you have… and Rashaad Penny is saying that he’s never seen this many route trees for the RBs.


I think it’s happening… and I think people are sleeping on Swift’s upside in this offense. They think he won’t be targeted because Jalen Hurts is a scrambler – I think that’s true to a degree when it comes to dump offs, but RBs like Swift are scripted into the game like Christian McCaffrey, like Austin Ekeler, like Alvin Kamara. Cam Newton targeted CMC, and he was a rushing QB. That’s because it was scripted into the game - like we might see here in Philly.


Among all RBs who had 50 or more targets last year, Swift was 3rd only behind McCaffrey and Kamara in yards/route run. Ekeler was 4th. He was top-5 in yards/reception, and 2nd in yards after the catch/reception.


Swift has RB1 upside, straight up… is he a risky pick? Yes. Does he have a large range of outcomes? You bet. But he can also be a league winner if he hits, and the Eagles are capable of setting him up to do just that.

 

Khalil Herbert - RB39, 117.3 (10th Round)


I talked about Roschon Johnson being a good late-round pick, but I think if I had to choose one RB on the Bears' offense to target, it’s Khalil Herbert. Why?


Because he already proved that he’s a good RB, and he has the upper hand right now so far in camp as the Bears RB1.


Here’s how good Herbert was last year… 2nd among all qualifying RBs in yards after contact/attempt, Tony Pollard was #1. Do you know who was 2nd last year? Tony Pollard.


Forced missed tackles/attempt? He was 3rd in that category, right behind Nick Chubb and right ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson. He had a run for more than 10 yards on 17% of his attempts, which was #1 in the NFL. The other two in the top-3? Tony Pollard and Nick Chubb.


He was #1 among all RBs in yards/carry in zone run concepts, and that’s what the Bears do right now - they’re a zone run team. There’s clear upside here - the numbers show it - and if you’re not betting on that, what are you doing?

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