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Looking to Buy a High-End RB? Look No Further than Bijan

If you’re looking for a high-end RB to buy, Bijan Robinson is the most obvious target for me. I’ve had people hit my comments to ask what to do with Bijan, that Bijan is frustrating them, this and that - so I’m getting a sense that a lot of people aren’t viewing Bijan as a high-end RB. He had a couple of top-10 finishes to start the year, but he was outside the Top-10 in three straight weeks. He still was in the Top-18 though, so it’s not like he’s absolutely killing you, and what you’re seeing over the past few weeks is his absolute floor.

Outside of Kyren Williams, there is no RB who’s had a higher route participation than Bijan. He’s running a route on 72% of Desmond Ridder’s dropbacks, which is insane. 17% target share is right at the top of the league, right there with Christian McCaffrey. Targets are worth 2.5x more than carries in PPR leagues, and Bijan’s got 5+ targets in 5 of 6 games, and is averaging 5 catches in those games. That’s gonna solidify his floor, and he’s still getting 13 carries/game on top of that! And before you gripe about the fact that he hasn’t scored, those TDs will come - he’s been on the field for 80% of his team’s short yardage snaps.

I really don’t care that Tyler Allgeier is getting 50% of the rushing attempts for now. Do I want him to be less involved? Of course… but the opportunity Bijan is getting is still consistent with that of a solid RB1, especially in PPR, and the talent with this type of opportunity has the chance to win you your league. He’s 1st in missed tackles forced/attempt among 33 qualifying RB and 4th in rushing yards over expectation, only behind Devon Achane, Breece Hall, and Raheem Mostert. I’m taking advantage of the few modest performances he has on his game log so far.


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