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Devon Achane Producing at Historic Efficiency Levels

Coming into the 2023 season, Devon Achane was one of Faraz’s favorite sleepers to take over a Dolphins backfield that looked primed to get by on quantity over quality. And through the first two weeks, Achane had a minimal role and wasn’t even a though as an asset on fantasy rosters. But over the past three weeks, Achane has come into his own – and he’s been setting the fantasy football world on fire while doing it.

Is this sustainable? Nope. Did we see this one coming at all? Definitely not. Is anyone complaining about his explosion onto the fantasy scene? No, except for those who have played against him.

Achane is leading all running backs with 30+ attempts over the past three weeks in just about every relevant fantasy football and efficiency metric there is. He’s currently leading the NFL in yards per carry by over six whole yards, tied with Christian McCaffrey for first with five touchdown runs, leading the league in missed tackles forced per attempt, and first in both yards before AND after contact per attempt. That’s just hilarious efficiency unlike any we’ve seen in a long time, and the more he continues to produce, the greater the legend will grow for Achane as this year’s clear top waiver wire pickup.

Another eye-popping stat that adds even more context to the story: Achane ranks just 16th in expected fantasy points per game (13.8) among all RBs with 30+ carries over the past three weeks. At 33.6 actual points per game, Achane is outperforming his expectation by 243% - by far the largest discrepancy between expected points and points scored among RBs with 30+ carries. He’s off to an unbelievable start to his career, and fantasy managers who held onto him even after a quiet first two weeks are reaping the rewards right now.


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