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Kyle Pitts Finished As The Overall TE5 With Only One TD

You’ve been hearing it all year, but I want to break it down for you.

Kyle Pitts had a ridiculous year and should be drafted as a stud in 2022.

Pitts wasn’t the most amazing fantasy asset in 2021, but if he scored some TDs, he would’ve made a lot of us very happy given he went over 1000 yards. TDs aren’t a sticky stat, so we can easily see those TDs increase going forward due to positive regression.

Thanks to PFF for the following stats:

  • He was 3rd in yards per route run among all rookie WRs and TEs – only behind Ja’Marr Chase and Kadarius Toney.

  • He was obviously first in yards per route run (2.13) among TEs by a very wide margin.

  • With the same minimum 50 targets, he was 2nd among TEs in YPRR over the last 10 years – only behind Jordan Reed (2.21) in 2013. But when you look deeper, Pitts ran more than double the amount of routes Reed did in his rookie year.

  • Only two TEs have ever out-targeted Pitts in a season – Jeremy Shockey in 2002 and Evan Engram in 2017.

  • He was also 4th among all TEs in YPRR this year – only behind George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, and Mark Andrews.

  • His average depth of target (11.3) was 1st among all TEs this year – downfield targets are worth more, and that’s not something we’re used to at the position.

  • He’s one of only five TEs this season to have two receiving plays of over 40 yards, and he was 1st among all TEs in yards/reception.

Pitts getting the Julio Jones treatment in terms of TD passes, but that should regress positively.

Mark Andrews had a ridiculous 40 red zone targets this year, but 2nd on the list had 25. Pitts had 22, so nothing to scoff at.

While I might not bite on a very early price tag for Pitts in 2022, he can see a big enough leap to justify it.

What round would you draft Pitts in 2022?


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