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Round by Round Targets, Avoids, Sleepers

I like a lot of players for fantasy this season, but the price has to be right for me. There aren’t many players I’m willing to reach a round or two on - that would imply that they’re severely mispriced. And in turn, it would mean that I should be questioning my process on that player; and if I’m still feeling that a player is that much of a value, I’ll make sure to grab as much exposure to that player as possible. I’ll try to identify a few of those here.

Let’s use Sleeper redraft ADP since Underdog ADP is slightly skewed towards WR early, which pushes RBs down the board.

For more details on these players, check out the rankings page with context, which includes blurbs on most of these players.

Round 1

There isn’t anyone I’m completely avoiding in the first round. They’re all great. Cooper Kupp’s hamstring injury shakes things up a bit because if I want to go a little safer, I’d take Tyreek Hill and even Travis Kelce over him. Sean McVay has said the injury isn’t serious, and that Kupp is day to day, but a hamstring injury for a 30-year-old WR isn’t what you want to deal with when you can go a lot safer and potentially avoid a disaster. If you want to take Bijan Robinson or Stefon Diggs ahead of Kupp, I totally get it.

A few concerns on Austin Ekeler at his price: He’s been a TD machine over the last two years; 12 and 13 rushing TDs each of the last two seasons with Lombardi but check this out - compare that to 2, 3, 3, and 1 TD before Lombardi... does Moore want to have a bigger back at the goal line? Does Josh Kelley get a crack there? I'm just playing devil's advocate, and we should understand any sort of risks for any player... here's another one - 4.7 catches/game for Ekeler with Keenan Allen on the field compared to 7.4 catches without Keenan Allen on the field last season - huge split there. And now they add Quentin Johnston… Are they going to be dumping it down that often if they're going to throw the ball down the field more? Am I still comfortable taking Ekeler that early, yes, but I might actually lean towards a high-end WR if I'm faced with the decision early in the 1st.

My picks at the 1-2 turn (picks 10-12): I find myself going WR/WR a lot of the time here. CeeDee, AJ Brown, Garret Wilson, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Davante Adams are great picks here. If you wanted to mix it up with an RB, Saquon and Chubb would be the two options for me.

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