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True Breakout Year Incoming for Dallas Goedert in 2022



Dallas Goedert has always been efficient, but he was sharing a role with Zach Ertz. Once Ertz got traded prior to Week 7, that efficiency continued. Among all TEs at least 75 targets, Goedert was 1st in yards/route run. He was followed by George Kittle, Mark Andrews, Kyle Pitts, Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Darren Waller in that order.


He was 2nd only to Kyle Pitts in yards/reception.


His weighted opportunity (combination of target share and air yards) was 2nd only to Mark Andrews from Week 7 on (after Ertz was traded). We witnessed a few blowup games this year, but the Eagles’ run heavy nature didn’t allow him to explode; the target share was there, he was running a route on every drop back, and he had the air yards.


Among the 18 TEs that had at least 75 targets, he was last in routes run.


He still was the TE5 from Week 7 on, in both FPPG and total fantasy points. He scored only 2 TDs in that span, and I’d expect that number to go up big time, especially since he caught contested catches at the 2nd highest rate among all TEs (min. 75 targets).


I’d expect a more balanced offense with hopefully improved QB play in 2022, and Goedert will have a chance to shine from the get. We can see a potential Mark Andrews-like blowup from him, and I’m fine paying up for him. My guess is that his ADP will be around the 5th or 6th round.

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